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2024年5月2日 · Michael Zervos. 滙豐環球私人銀行及財富管理， 投資策略分析師. 要點. 聯邦公開市場委員會連續第六次（自 2023 年 7 月份）一致投票決定將聯邦基金利率維持不變。 隨著我們留意到延遲減息的風險正在上升，考慮到通脹之路崎嶇不平，我們已修正減息預期，現只在 2024 年 9 月份減息 0.25%，惟此預期時間仍然較市場為早。 聯儲局宣布將從 2024 年 6 月 1 日起放慢量化緊縮政策的步伐，將每月資產負債表中的國債上限從 600 億美元降至 250 億美元。 此措施較市場人士預期為早，因而被視為聯儲局釋出溫和的鴿派訊號。 鮑威爾透露減息將會是聯儲局下一步的行動，此番言論大大減少了市場對加息的擔憂，債券價格因而應聲反彈。 我們認為 10 年期美國國債收益率已見頂。
2024年5月6日 · Recent US data have thrown the Fed’s plans to enact a policy pivot off course. The primary problem is sticky inflation; the Fed’s preferred price gauge jumped 3.7% q/q annualised in Q1, up from around 2% in the second half of last year. Q1 GDP came in below expectations but masked still-strong consumer spending, while some keenly watched ...
6 天前 · Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and China’s Shanghai Composite lost 2.1% and 0.4%, respectively. Japan’s Nikkei 225 slid 0.3%, as India’s Sensex ended little changed (-0.1%) after returning from a holiday. Crude oil prices slipped on Tuesday, in the absence of major market catalysts. WTI crude for June delivery settled 0.7% lower at USD79.3 a barrel.
2024年5月13日 · Investment Weekly: Fed to EM spillovers. 13 May 2024. Key takeaways. In recent weeks, there’s been a reversal of fortune for Chinese stocks, outperforming indices across both developed and emerging markets. Crucially, policy measures have shored up confidence, with the Politburo signalling ongoing assistance on both the monetary and fiscal ...
6 天前 · vs HKD 5.6812 / 5.7474. CAD ended lower against the US dollar yesterday, weakening to a 1-week low as investors priced in a rate cut in Jun after domestic data showed Canadian annual inflation rate slowed to 2.7%. A fall in oil prices also weighed on CAD. USDCAD rose 0.22% yesterday while CADHKD ended at 5.72 level.
2024年5月20日 · vs USD 1.2524 / 1.2792 ⬆. vs HKD 9.7830 / 9.9750. GBP rose against the dollar on Friday and hit new weekly high as the market sentiment turns slightly cautious. While investors shift focus to the UK CPI data for April, which will be published on Wednesday. GBPUSD rose 0.26% last Friday while GBPHKD ended at 9.90 level.
2024年5月20日 · Issued by The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited. For investors in European stocks, the old adage that ‘it’s better to travel than arrive’ could ring true this year. An improving economic backdrop, broadening market momentum and expectations of an ECB rate cut as soon as June, have driven eurozone equities higher.
