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2023年12月6日 · Posted Dec 6, 2023 by Martin Armstrong |. Spread the love. Moody’s has downgraded the outlook on China’s credit rating from “stable” to “negative” due to concerns about the country’s post-pandemic recovery, weak consumer and business confidence, a persistent housing crisis, and a global economic slowdown.
Understanding this dynamic nonlinear global network is the first step in restructuring government and our idea of managing our political-social-economy. The primary mistake many make with the Economic Confidence Model (ECM) is assuming it should be a perfect model for the stock market, gold, or some other market.
4 the widespread default by both advanced and emerging European nations on World War I debts to the United States during the 1930s, as in Reinhart (2013). We examine this largely forgotten episode of debt forgiveness (the debts were never repaid) in both its
2 天前 · The Theory of Non-Linear Intervention. May 28, 2024. Economics is well known for rather unrealistic theories based upon fundamentally unsound principles, such as the assumption that all things remain equal.
Model/Socrates Expertise Q&A with Erwin Pletsch Saturday and Sunday (Nov 6 & 7) 7 AM– 9 AM EST This Q&A Session will be hosted online via the Slido App. Two ways to join: 1) Go directly to the Slido App (see Slido flyer for instructions) 2) Go to ‘Q&A–Slido’from within the 2021 WEC Event App* ...
Research at Princeton has revealed a similar duration of 8.6 years, but on a more dynamic scale. The overall structure of the Princeton Economic-Confidence Model is based on an 8.6 year business cycle. This 8.6-year cycle builds in intensity to form long-waves of economic activity measuring 51.6 years. This should NOT be confused with the long ...
Everything functions within a cyclical pattern, yet when it comes to economics, we remain stuck in some primitive concept of the world around us assuming we are masters of the universe – the Demigods of finance. Politicians claim vote for them and they will flat-line the Business Cycle and market like perpetually the same – the Utopian flat ...
