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2024年5月20日 · 概要. 市場對聯儲局重新燃起的鴿派希望以及相關風險偏好的上升近期令美元受挫。 不過，我們認為，未來幾星期進一步下跌的空間有限，部分原因在於美國利率較高。 避險情緒和歐洲的鴿派動向或將推動美元重回年初以來的高點。 美國經濟增長不及預期，加之股市造好，導致美元走軟. 美元最近遭受利率和風險情緒的雙重打擊 。 美國經濟活動數據弱於預期，加上4 月份通脹數據未能繼續高於預期（圖1）。 這重新燃起了市場對美國聯邦儲備局（簡稱「聯儲局」或「美聯準」）的鴿派期盼，並有助推動了風險偏好，使美元受壓。 進入聯邦公開市場委員會開會前的靜默期之前，聯儲局官員的講話可能是關鍵因素. 然而，對美元的雙重打擊也可能變成雙重利好力量。
2024年5月20日 · Table of tactical views where a currency pair is referenced (e.g. USD/JPY):An up (⬆) / down (⬇) / sideways ( ) arrow indicates that the first currency quotedin the pair is expected by HSBC Global Research to appreciate/depreciate/track sideways against the second currency quoted over the coming weeks. For example, an up arrow against EUR ...
4 天前 · 生命科學、多戶型住宅和優質辦公室等能夠適應「在家工作」形勢的板塊預期將繼續表現向好。 對比之下，二級辦公室和二級購物中心將面對更加不明朗前景。
2024年5月13日 · The GBP is the second best performing G10 currency so far this year, with the USD being top in the performance stakes ( Bloomberg, 9 May 2024). The outperformance has been supported by its nominal yield advantage; but this looks to have gone beyond what the relationship implies (Chart 1). With the backdrop of lower FX market volatility, the ...
2024年5月23日 · Market expectations for Fed rate cuts have been on a roller-coaster ride, swinging from too enthusiastic in Q1 to quite conservative at the time of writing as inflation has proved stickier than expected. As rate cuts are just a matter of time, we lock in current attractive bond yields. In equities, we see a richer set of opportunities across geographies and sectors, driven by broadening global ...
2024年5月24日 · Stock markets in mainland China and Hong Kong have rallied this year, with solid momentum in Q2 delivering one of the strongest performances in global equities. Late last year, disinflation and positive growth hinted at the prospect of the softest of soft landings for the economy. But in Q1, a sequence of three hot inflation prints reframed ...
2024年5月17日 · Issued by The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited. For investors in European stocks, the old adage that ‘it’s better to travel than arrive’ could ring true this year. An improving economic backdrop, broadening market momentum and expectations of an ECB rate cut as soon as June, have driven eurozone equities higher.
