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  1. The Role of Grandparent Vanishing from Society. May 24, 2024. I discussed how the rising costs of childcare surpass the cost of rent by 25% to 50% across the United States. The cost of raising a child is directly reflected in... Civilization.

  2. The next peak on the 8.6-year business cycle came in at 1998.55, which was precisely July 20 th, 1998. While the intensity was defined rather well by the model’s forecast of 6,000 on the Dow by the quarter-cycle target of 1996.4 followed by 10,000 for 1998, the development of highly leveraged hedge funds created a trap that was not fully anticipated.

  3. Model Overview. Within Western culture, the mere concept of economic activity taking the form of cyclical patterns of regularity is often dismissed as if it were a legend of ancient Atlantis or some mystic cult. The majority cling to the idea that economic trends and market movements are completely random occurrences within a constant state of ...

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    • © Martin A. Armstrong
    • How Does The CPI Work?
    • So What Is Inflation Anyway?
    • Is Inflation Definable?
    • Fighting Inflation Right War – Wrong Weapons
    • So Will The Future Bring Inflation Or Deflation?

    Economists and analysts argue that double-digit inflation is something of the past – a freak of nature that took place during the Carter years of the mid-70s. On April 19th, 1993, Alan Greenspan (Chairman of the Federal Reserve) made a statement before Congress… “The inflationary pressures that so dominated the economic events or most of the last q...

    The CPI is one of the most widely used economic statistics and perhaps the most misunderstood. Nearly 100,000 items are included in the U.S. Consumer Price Index. Even though the Bureau of Labor Statistics has tried supposedly in “good faith” to design an accurate CPI, there are several major flaws within its design. In addition, several major revi...

    The commonplace definition of inflation is a rise in the cost of general goods and services relative to the medium of exchange or currency unit (money). By definition, one is initially misled with the assumption that the cause of inflation is deeply rooted somewhere within the market structure – be it either supply or demand – rather than in the re...

    Inflation is something which most people perceive as a single dimensional force with its cause and effects one and the same. But inflation is far from such a simplistic explanation. Its causes are numerous a s well as its effects. Inflation is largely multi-dimensional. It can arise from labour demands, raw material shortages, overall changes in go...

    The most startling thing about general economic expectations, is the lack of understanding about inflation. The general concensus remains biased toward believing that inflation is being held in check by the central bank. Some have been so bold as to regard inflation as a completely dead issue while 0.others has gone as far as to proclaim “zero infl...

    While the weakness in business activity, the surplus in the labour market and the somewhat steady commodity prices would seem to suggest that the future holds more of the same, it does not hold true that the country is simply “too weak” to inflate. Those who would argue that the economy is not getting stronger by leaps and bounds should also rememb...

  4. Spread the love. Global Meltdown. Economic Confidence Model & the July 20th Turning Point. Worst So Far This Century. The Crash of ’98 Continues. Intervention With a new twist. Is this the Next Great Depression?

  5. 2021年7月1日 · NEW BOOK RELEASE. AVAILABLE NOW! “Manipulating the World Economy” by Martin A. Armstrong. Click here to order on Amazon. Click here to order at Barnes & Noble. The economic theories that dominated the field during the. 20th century have failed us and empowered government to believe they can. manipulate the business cycle.

  6. 2019年10月1日 · There tends to be a fairly regular 21-year cycle in extreme climate shifts with respect to volatility. There was the extreme cold of 1936, followed 21 years later with a heatwave that melted the ice in the arctic, and then going into 1978 they were talking again about the