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The primary mistake many make with the Economic Confidence Model (ECM) is assuming it should be a perfect model for the stock market, gold, or some other market. It is a global model and does not track any individual market. It is tracking the phenomenon of international capital flows. There is a shift back and forth between PUBLIC and PRIVATE ...
2020年2月12日 · The Economic Confidence Model & the Shift in Trend. While we took the back cover of the Economist for 3 weeks during July 1985 to announce the beginning of the Private Wave stating that the dollar had peaked (followed by the Plaza Accord 6 weeks later), the ECM has been remarked on around the world for its turning points.
analyzes the global economy and business cycle by tracking capital flows and capital concentration, providing a macro long-term perspective of when shifts in confidence are possible that could lead to notable economic events as demonstrated over the course of history. The model consists of cycle waves that vary in length, from shorter to longer ...
Explore the latest posts on our most popular topics. Market Talk. Economics. Upcoming Events. Quick Links: 2024 US Presidential Election Russia-Ukraine War Inflation Economic Confidence Model interest rates Israel-Palestine War Interviews.
The Impact of the Trump Verdict on our AI Computer – The Fall of the US in 8.6 years. June 1, 2024 Juan Manuel Merchan is a Colombian-born American judge and former prosecutor. Most curious, he is NOT a formal judge, he is ONLY an acting justice of the New
The rise and fall of the CPI is certainly not a headline grabber as it was during the late 1960s and throughout the 1970s. The ’80s has been a era of deflation to some degree and the consequences of that trend have led to more confusion than enlightenment when it comes down to the topic of inflation. We have discussed on numerous occasions ...
2024年1月31日 · Exclusive Interview! Martin Armstrong's Socrates 2024 Election and Economic Forecasts -- Part 1. Join Kerry Lutz and renowned economist Martin Armstrong for a captivating discussion centered around the Socrates computer model’s uncanny accuracy in predicting political and market trends since 1985.