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  1. 系集預報的應用翻轉了對颱風與豪雨定量 降水預報的傳統框架,而使得定量降水預 報技術的發展進入了一個全新的領域。. 52. 路徑預報誤差 • 導致實際降水熱區定 量降水預報的低估 • 非降水熱區有高估的 趨勢. 53. NORTH. Best SOUTH. 852. 884 400~700 ~400. 問題是 ...

  2. Department of Commerce // National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration // 6 FY2020 HWRFv13 Testing and Evaluation with GFSv15 NATL and EPAC track and intensity skills for 2018-2019 storms (late model guidance) NATL: Both track and intensity skills

  3. Department of Commerce // National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration // 1 UFS Hurricane Application: Development and Operational Transition of FV3-HyCOM-WW3 coupled HAFS Zhan Zhang1 and the EMC Hurricane Modeling Team (with ongoing

  4. Requirements for Unified Model •Atmospheric Dynamics –Non-Hydrostatic –Scalable, stable and efficient •Physics –Most attractive area for development –Scale-aware/adaptive –Single column vs. 3D –Focus on interactions among various components (including

  5. 小結 經由單點測試可以發現,3DVAR與LETKF實驗的水氣混合比增 量有相似的量級。LETKF實驗的增量分布呈現海陸分布的現象。 同化ZTD資料實驗相對於只同化雷達資料實驗會增加北部的總 可降水量,減少南部的總可降水量,其變化趨勢大致與觀測資

  6. Prototype of Temp. Probability Fcst. Bayesian Model Average Assume the Normal conditional pdf. of the obs. given the fcst Build up BMA model station by station Model Data:CWB2T2 & CFSv2 JJA : 8 downscaled fcst. (K=8) DJF : 6 downscaled fcst. (K=6)

  7. Browse Tips 「Forecast wind degree greater than or equal to 6 or wave height greater than or equal to 3 meters, please vessels engaged in marine activities or jobs should pay particular attention to safety」 These data, derived from the numerical model, contain ...