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  1. Understanding this dynamic nonlinear global network is the first step in restructuring government and our idea of managing our political-social-economy. The primary mistake many make with the Economic Confidence Model (ECM) is assuming it should be a perfect model for the stock market, gold, or some other market.

  2. 2015年3月14日 · It is BECAUSE of this model that we are able to see how FATCA is destroying the world economy at an alarming rate. Our models on Capital Flows were used to illustrate the cause of the 1987 Crash and it was why the Brady Commission did not blame the markets or some short player. Instead, they came out with just a soft explanation saying they ...

  3. 3) Objective approaches to forecasting have performed as well or better than judgmental forecasts which was also the conclusions of Camerer 1981 and Dawes 1976. 4) Short-term forecasts tend to be more reliable due to the considerable inertia which prevails during the course of a given trend. One example that Hogarth and Makridakis provided was ...

  4. www.armstrongeconomics.com › armstrongeconomics101 › basicModels | Armstrong Economics

    2016年7月17日 · Posted Jul 17, 2016 by Martin Armstrong |. Spread the love. QUESTION: What do I need to read to understand the basics about your models, and being able to use this? I’m very interested in using your models to guide me better in my investing. ANSWER: Start with the “Models & Methodologies.”. We do provide a lot of study material under MODELS.

  5. Princeton Economics International

  6. www.armstrongeconomics.com › wp-content › uploadsEconomic Confidence Model

    analyzes the global economy and business cycle by tracking capital flows and capital concentration, providing a macro long-term perspective of when shifts in confidence are possible that could lead to notable economic events as demonstrated over the course of history. The model consists of cycle waves that vary in length, from shorter to longer ...

  7. 2019年12月28日 · Obviously, that has not happened. The reason is the existence of cycles. Energy is not constant. It unfolds in segments Max Planck called “quanta” and we arrive at what is known as threshold energy. Suffice it to say, this area of understanding cyclical behavior is extremely complex. I simply have called this the “Schema Frequency” upon ...