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2024年9月24日 · The World Economic Outlook (WEO) is a survey of prospects and policies by the IMF staff, usually published twice a year, with updates in between. It presents analyses and projections of the world economy in the near and medium term, which are integral elements of the IMF’s surveillance of economic developments and policies in its member ...
2024年10月22日 · The latest World Economic Outlook reports stable but underwhelming global growth, with the balance of risks tilted to the downside. As monetary policy is eased amid continued disinflation, shifting gears is needed to ensure that fiscal policy is on a sustainable path and to rebuild fiscal buffers.
2024年7月16日 · Global growth is projected to be in line with the April 2024 World Economic Outlook (WEO) forecast, at 3.2 percent in 2024 and 3.3 percent in 2025. Services inflation is holding up progress on disinflation, which is complicating monetary policy normalization.
2024年4月16日 · The baseline forecast is for the world economy to continue growing at 3.2 percent during 2024 and 2025, at the same pace as in 2023. A slight acceleration for advanced economies—where growth is expected to rise from 1.6 percent in 2023 to 1.7 percent in 2024 and 1.8 percent in 2025—will be offset by a modest slowdown in emerging market and ...
2024年4月16日 · 由于二十国集团新兴市场经济体占世界GDP的近三分之一和全球贸易的四分之一左右,源于这些经济体的冲击所产生的溢出效应可能对全球经济活动产生重要影响。
Speechify. 0:00. 全球经济增速的基线预测值将从2022年的3.5%降至2023年的3.0%和2024年的2.9%,远低于3.8%的历史(2000-2019年)平均水平。 在发达经济体,随着政策收紧开始产生负面影响,经济增速预计将从2022年的2.6%放缓至2023年的1.5%和2014年的1.4%。 新兴市场和发展中经济体2023年和2024年的经济增速预计将小幅下降,从2022年的4.1%降至2023年和2024年的4.0%。 由于货币政策收紧,加之国际大宗商品价格下跌,预计全球通胀率将从2022年的8.7%稳步降至2023年的6.9%和2024年的5.8%。 总体来看,核心通胀预计将更缓慢地下降,大多数国家的通胀预计要到2025年才能回到目标水平。
2022年10月11日 · The slowdown in global economic activity is broad-based and sharper-than-expected, with inflation higher than seen in decades. The economic outlook depends on a successful calibration of monetary and fiscal policies, the course of the war in Ukraine, and growth prospects in China.