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  1. www.armstrongeconomics.com › modelsModels | Armstrong Economics

    Artificial Intelligence +. Glossaries - Glossary of Financial & Economic Terminology Glossary of Forecasting Terminology The Economic Confidence Model + Economic Confidence Model.

  2. www.armstrongeconomics.com › models › 7219-2Understanding The ECM | Armstrong Economics

    The primary mistake many make with the Economic Confidence Model (ECM) is assuming it should be a perfect model for the stock market, gold, or some other market. It is a global model and does not track any individual market. It is tracking the phenomenon of international capital flows. There is a shift back and forth between PUBLIC and PRIVATE ...

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  3. www.armstrongeconomics.com › international-news › chinaMoody's Downgrades Chinese Debt | Armstrong Economics

    2023年12月6日 · Moody’s anticipates China’s economy to grow 4% in 2024 into 2025 “with structural factors including weaker demographics driving a decline in potential growth to around 3.5 per cent by 2030.”. Real estate and construction compos about a quarter of China’s GDP, and the recent property slump has only contributed to the nation’s debt ...

  4. www.armstrongeconomics.com › markets-by-sector › interestInterest Rates & The Fed | Armstrong Economics

    2023年2月2日 · Interest Rates & the Fed. The Federal Reserve raised the benchmark by 25 bps, as expected. The Fed fully understands that the manipulation of the CPI is a necessary aspect both for containing government benefits and understating inflation also results in high tax revenues. The market loves hope, and as a result, they focused on the warning that ...

  5. www.armstrongeconomics.com › markets-by-sector › interestWho Is The Fool? The Borrower Or The Lender? - Armstrong ...

    2018年8月20日 · Of course, there were some who were foolish to issue variable interest rate bonds. Those companies are likely to find themselves in trouble. But there are others who issued long-term fixed bonds at low rates. Our advise to corporate clients was to borrow as much as possible at fixed rates for 50 to 100 years while the fools were willing to buy.

  6. www.armstrongeconomics.com › blogBlog | Armstrong Economics

    1 天前 · The London ECM Next Weekend. May 18, 2024. We have reached a critical crossroads in the world economy. May 7th, 2024, was a profound turning point that changed the course of events as they are... Sovereign Debt Crisis Banking Crisis Geopolitical IMF NATO Upcoming Events.

  7. www.armstrongeconomics.com › markets-by-sector › interestInterview On Interest Rates | Armstrong Economics

    2024年4月14日 · https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9wKxTdofnJQ