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  1. 系集預報的應用翻轉了對颱風與豪雨定量 降水預報的傳統框架,而使得定量降水預 報技術的發展進入了一個全新的領域。. 52. 路徑預報誤差 • 導致實際降水熱區定 量降水預報的低估 • 非降水熱區有高估的 趨勢. 53. NORTH. Best SOUTH. 852. 884 400~700 ~400. 問題是 ...

  2. Optimize the sizes for all three model domains and use 91 nodes instead of 81 nodes to speed up the forecast job Adjust the horizontal mixing length scale parameter (coac) for D02 and D03 (nested domains) Use high-resolution land-sea masks for the ...

  3. Browse Tips 「Forecast wind degree greater than or equal to 6 or wave height greater than or equal to 3 meters, please vessels engaged in marine activities or jobs should pay particular attention to safety」 These data, derived from the numerical model, contain ...

  4. Bayesian Model Average Assume the Normal conditional pdf. of the obs. given the fcst Build up BMA model station by station Model Data:CWB2T2 & CFSv2 JJA : 8 downscaled fcst. (K=8) DJF : 6 downscaled fcst. (K=6) Based on Raftery (2005), but allow ...

  5. 小結 經由單點測試可以發現,3DVAR與LETKF實驗的水氣混合比增 量有相似的量級。LETKF實驗的增量分布呈現海陸分布的現象。 同化ZTD資料實驗相對於只同化雷達資料實驗會增加北部的總 可降水量,減少南部的總可降水量,其變化趨勢大致與觀測資

  6. Vijay Tallapragada Chief, Modeling and Data Assimilation Branch, Environmental Modeling Center NOAA/NWS/NCEP The 2nd Taiwan West Pacific Global Forecast System Development Workshop, Taipei, Taiwan, June 7, 2017 Development of FV3 based Unified

  7. ISSN 1019-6307 中華民國 10 3 年 氣候資料年報 第二部分–高空資料 CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA ANNUAL REPORT 2014 PART II –UPPER AIR DATA103 Meisei RD-65A3 RS2-80MB Vaisala RT-20A RS80-67 99 8 1 Vaisala MW31 RS92-SGPD 00 12 P( hPa) T

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