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2023年3月25日 · Both Kondratieff and Brenner waves were not just based on commodities/sunspots, but they were in turn influenced by war and climate, unbeknownst to either. Kondratieff and Brenner followed agriculture/commodity prices when agriculture accounted for 70% of the GDP pre-20th century. That only began to decline from 1850 forward, dropping to 40% by ...
2023年1月13日 · We took out the back cover of the Economist in July 1985 for three weeks to forecast that the deflation was ending and a new Private Wave on our Economic Confidence Model was beginning that would eventually peak in 2032. The ECM even picked the high in the interest rates at the Fed in 1981. Our long-term forecasts have been amazing.
