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  1. 全球经济增速的基线预测值将从2022年的3.5%降至2023年的3.0%和2024年的2.9%,远低于3.8%的历史(2000-2019年)平均水平。 在发达经济体,随着政策收紧开始产生负面影响,经济增速预计将从2022年的2.6%放缓至2023年的1.5%和2014年的1.4%。 新兴市场和发展中经济体2023年和2024年的经济增速预计将小幅下降,从2022年的4.1%降至2023年和2024年的4.0%。 由于货币政策收紧,加之国际大宗商品价格下跌,预计全球通胀率将从2022年的8.7%稳步降至2023年的6.9%和2024年的5.8%。 总体来看,核心通胀预计将更缓慢地下降,大多数国家的通胀预计要到2025年才能回到目标水平。 当前,货币政策措施和框架是保持通胀预期有效锚定的关键。

  2. 2022年10月11日 · Global economic activity is experiencing a broad-based and sharper-than-expected slowdown, with inflation higher than seen in several decades. The cost-of-living crisis, tightening financial conditions in most regions, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and the lingering COVID-19 pandemic all weigh heavily on the outlook.

  3. mediacenter.imf.org › news › imf---world-economic-outlook-april-2024IMF / World Economic Outlook April 2024

    2024年4月16日 · Release Date: 16 Apr 2024 | Washington, DC. Global growth, estimated at 3.2 percent in 2023, is projected to continue at the same pace in 2024 and 2025, said Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas’ IMF’s chief economist in a press briefing today, Tuesday April 16 in Washington, DC. Nevertheless, the projection for global growth in 2024 and 2025 is below ...

  4. JAN. 2022 WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK UPDATE. Rising Caseloads, a Disrupted Recovery, and Higher Inflation. The global economy enters 2022 in a weaker position than previously expected. As the new Omicron COVID-19 variant spreads, countries have reimposed mobility restrictions.

  5. 2021年10月12日 · The global economy is projected to grow 5.9 percent in 2021 and 4.9 percent in 2022, 0.1 percentage point lower for 2021 than in the July forecast. The downward revision for 2021 reflects a downgrade for advanced economies—in part due to supply disruptions—and for low-income developing countries, largely due to worsening pandemic ...

  6. 4 天前 · Amid exceptional uncertainty, the global economy is projected to grow 5.5 percent in 2021 and 4.2 percent in 2022. The 2021 forecast is revised up 0.3 percentage point relative to the previous forecast, reflecting expectations of a vaccine-powered strengthening of

  7. 2021年3月23日 · Global economy on firmer ground, but with divergent recoveries amid high uncertainty. Global prospects remain highly uncertain one year into the pandemic. New virus mutations and the accumulating human toll raise concerns, even as growing vaccine coverage lifts sentiment. Economic recoveries are diverging across countries and sectors ...

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